The 19-year-old became the youngest driver to lead the F1 championship despite losing the lead on the opening lap.
The Italian leads his Mercedes teammate George Russell by nine points after three rounds. Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc is third in the championship after two podium finishes.
Mercedes has been the dominant team thus far, but with several new rules implemented by the FIA, the German team’s supremacy might be under threat.
Several teams have announced major upgrades to their cars for Miami and the pecking order could change drastically by the end of Sunday’s GP.
Ahead of this weekend’s race we hone in on five serious contenders for the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers’ Championship, using current odds, form, and early-season trends.
Five Title Contenders to Watch
The 2026 Formula 1 season is shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable in years, thanks to sweeping regulation changes and a reshuffled competitive order. Early betting markets still lean heavily toward Mercedes dominance, but recent races have already shaken up expectations.
Below are five drivers who stand out as genuine championship contenders based on odds, performance, and momentum.
1. George Russell (Mercedes) – The Favourite
- Odds: 2.00 favourite
- Why he’s here: Consistency and dominant car (for now)
British driver George Russell entered 2026 as the clear betting favourite—and little has changed. Mercedes has arguably the strongest package under the new regulations, and Russell has been tipped across the board by analysts as the most likely champion.
He already showed title credentials in 2025 and now has the car to match. For bettors, he’s the safe pick, though not the most lucrative.
Betting angle: Best for conservative bets or accumulators.
2. Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) – The Breakout Star
- Odds: 2.10
- Why he’s here: Current championship leader
The biggest storyline so far is 19-year-old sensation, Kimi Antonelli. He just became the youngest championship leader in F1 history after back-to-back wins.
Driving the same dominant Mercedes, Antonelli combines raw pace with surprising composure. The only question: can he sustain a title fight over a full season?
Betting angle: High-value pick—odds haven’t fully caught up to his form yet.
3. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) – The Consistent Threat
- Odds: 13.00
- Why he’s here: Reliable podium finisher and improving Ferrari
Leclerc is the consensus pick for second-best title contender across multiple predictions.
Ferrari has shown strong pace in testing and races, and the Monegasque driver’s ability to extract results consistently keeps him in the hunt—even when not winning.
Betting angle: Strong each-way or podium market value.
4. Max Verstappen (Red Bull) – The Wildcard Champion
- Odds: 67.00
- Why he’s here: Elite driver, uncertain car
Max Verstappen remains one of the most naturally gifted drivers on the grid and is still heavily backed because of his pedigree.
However, Red Bull has struggled to fully adapt to the 2026 regulations, and the four-time world champion has already had inconsistent results—including finishing outside the top positions recently.
Betting angle: High risk, high reward—depends on Red Bull development.
5. Lando Norris (McLaren) – The Defending Champion
- Odds: 26.00
- Why he’s here: Proven champion with upside
As the reigning 2025 champion, Lando Norris cannot be ignored. While McLaren started slower this season, recent podiums suggest they’re catching up quickly.
If McLaren continues improving, Norris could become a serious second-half title challenger.
Betting angle: Long-term value bet if you expect mid-season development gains.

