PSG vs Bayern Munich – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

The hosts have won eight of their last nine matches. The clubs met in the Champions League in November as Bayern won 2-1 in Paris with ten men.

PSG Form

After a shock 3-1 home loss to Monaco in Ligue 1, PSG beat Chelsea 8-2 on aggregate in the round of 16. A 5-2 home win was followed by a 3-0 win at Stamford Bridge. They won 4-0 at Nice and won 3-1 at home to Toulouse. A 2-0 home win followed over Liverpool in their UCL quarter-final first leg with an 18-3 shot count.

PSG went to Anfield and won 2-0 to seal a place in the semi-finals. With a heavily-rotated XI, they lost 2-1 at home to Lyon despite putting up 3.12 xG. They got back to winning ways with a 3-0 home victory over Nantes and a 3-0 win at Angers on Saturday.

PSG Team News

Coach Luis Enrique has Fabian Ruiz available in midfield after a long-term injury. Vitinha has shaken off a knock and will start in the engine room.

There are no other injuries or suspensions to deal with. PSG have been rotating their XI in recent matches, with full focus on trying to retain the Champions League.

PSG Motivation

PSG are giving this competition top priority. They have Lorient over the weekend, but that match won’t prove a distraction at all.

They will look to play their usual game in this one. Enrique’s side will play to dominate possession and territory, with man-marking pressing all over the pitch.

Bayern Munich Form

Bayern are on a 19-match unbeaten run with 17 victories and two draws. Their 50 matches across all competitions this season have seen 44 wins. They thrashed Atalanta 10-2 on aggregate in their last-16 after winning 6-1 away and 4-1 at home. A 4-0 win over Union Berling and a 3-2 win at Freiburg followed. Bayern won 2-1 away at Real Madrid in their UCL quarter-final first leg.

Die Roten smashed St. Pauli 5-0 and beat ten-man Real Madrid 4-3 in the second leg. A 4-2 home win over Stuttgart secured the Bundesliga title. They’ve since beat Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 away and won 4-3 at Mainz as Harry Kane and Michael Olise came on at half-time to seal a comeback from 3-0 down.

Bayern Munich Team News

Bayern are without winger Serge Gnabry, after he suffered a season-ending injury. Raphaël Guerreiro is absent due to a hamstring complaint.

Young stars Lennart Karl and Tom Bischof will miss this first leg. Jamal Musiala is the only fit number ten and could be handed a start.

Bayern Munich Motivation

Bayern always use a very attacking style of play. They will take the game to PSG, even in France.

Vincent Kompany’s side will try to win this first leg. A draw is a good result too.

Key Stats

• PSG have lost just 2 of their last 18 European games (12 wins, four draws).
• PSG have won 8 of their last 9 matches
• PSG’s Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has scored 8 goals in his season’s Champions League
• Bayern Munich have won 44 of their 50 matches this season (4 draws, 2 losses)
• Bayern have scored 58 goals in their last 17 matches
• Bayern’s Harry Kane has scored 12 UCL goals this seaso     

Verdict

A highly entertaining match awaits. The goalscorer market looks like an excellent route to take. Bayern could leave Paris with a draw, but there are safer bets to take.

Best Bet: Over 3.5 goals at 1.93

Value Bet: Both Teams to Score in Both Halves at 5.50

Goalscorer Tip: Kvaratskhelia and Kane to both score anytime at 5.00