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Chelsea v Liverpool: Preview and Betting Tips | EPL 2025

Chelsea face Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday.

Chelsea face Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday. The Blues have lost just three of their last 30 home league matches, whilst the Reds have won the title and will receive a guard of honour.

Match: Chelsea v Liverpool
When: Sunday, 04 May 2025
Where: Stamford Bridge Stadium

Chelsea Form

Enzo Maresca’s side have lost just once in eight league matches. At home, it’s six wins in the last seven EPL fixtures with just three defeats in 30 at home in league action. A 1-0 home win over Tottenham was followed by a 0-0 at Brentford with 21 shots. Chelsea went to Poland and beat Legia Warszawa 3-0 away in the Conference League quarter-final first leg.

A poor 2-2 home draw with Ipswich was followed by a shock 2-1 loss at home to Legia Warszawa. The Blues bounced back to score two late goals in a 2-1 win at Fulham before eking out a 1-0 home win over Everton. On Thursday, they won 4-1 away at Djurgarden in the Conference League semis.

Chelsea Team News

Enzo Maresca is without Wesley Fofana in defence and Malo Gusto is doubtful. Levi Colwill and Trevoh Chalobah were on the bench in midweek and will start here.

Romeo Lavia is fit after injury and may be trusted to start. Jadon Sancho is competing with Pedro Neto for a wide role whilst Reece James could be benched once again in the league.

Chelsea Motivation

The Blues are doing well at home and need to play for a win in this match. The top five race is very tight and a defeat would be damaging.

An open approach is not expected. Chelsea could sit back in parts of the match and look to use fast breaks.

Liverpool Form

The Reds have won the title after an incredible league season. Their last eight EPL fixtures have yielded seven wins. A defeat to PSG in the Champions League on penalties (1-1 aggregate) saw 48 shots allowed over two legs. They lost 2-1 in the Carabao Cup final to Newcastle.

After a 1-0 win at Everton, Arne Slot’s side lost 3-2 at Fulham in a sloppy display. They ground out a 2-1 win over West Ham and a 1-0 win at Leicester. The title was secured with a 5-1 humbling of Tottenham at Anfield last weekend.

Liverpool Team News

Joe Gomez is ruled out and Conor Bradley is doubtful. Kostas Tsimikas may get a start at left back in this one.

Arne Slot may consider some rotation to involve fringe squad members like Harvey Elliott, Wataru Endo and Federico Chiesa. Diogo Jota and Curtis Jones are also hoping for starts.

Liverpool Motivation

With the title secured, there may be a slight drop in focus and motivation.

Liverpool will play to win at Stamford Bridge but a draw would also be acceptable. We could see some fringe players get a chance.

Key Stats

Chelsea have won 6 of their last 7 home league matches (4 clean sheets)

Chelsea have lost just 3 of their last 30 league matches at Stamford Bridge

Liverpool have won 7 of their last 8 league matches

Liverpool have won their last 3 matches vs Chelsea (7 draws before that)

Verdict

A good match awaits us. Chelsea could get a point, considering Liverpool may take their foot off the pedal.

Best Bet: Liverpool win/draw double chance + Over 1.5 goals at 2.05

Value Bet: Draw at 3.60

Correct Score Tip: Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool at 6.50

James is a football analyst who writes about the tactics of the PSL and English Premier League. He holds the UEFA A coaching licence and has previously worked for several clubs in analysis roles. Twitter: https://twitter.com/footy_analysis

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