The hosts are unbeaten in nine matches against Die Roten with seven wins and two draws. The big talking point is whether Harry Kane will be fit to start at the Bernabéu.
Real Madrid Form
Los Blancos lost in La Liga over the weekend, so the gap to Barcelona is now seven points. Their only realistic route to silverware in winning the Champions League. They have won all four of their European knockout matches this season. A 2-1 loss at Getafe in early March made it successive league defeats.
After winning 2-1 at Celta Vigo, they beat Man City 3-0 at home in a sublime first-half display. They beat Elche 4-1 and then went to Manchester and beat City 2-1 in the second leg as they faced ten men for most of the match. In keeping with their inconsistent season, they beat Atletico Madrid 3-2 in the league, but lost 2-1 at Mallorca in the last minute on Saturday night.
Real Madrid Team News
Real Madrid are without Thibaut Courtois in goal, so Andriy Lunin will deputise. Rodrygo is out with a long-term knee injury. Fede Valverde returns after serving a domestic suspension.
Jude Bellingham is available after his hamstring injury, but may be used as a substitute. Ferland Mendy and Dani Ceballos need late fitness tests. Vinícius Jr. will return to the starting XI after a partial rest in the last match.
Real Madrid Motivation
Los Blancos look distracted in the league, and their La Liga hopes are fading. All attention will go on this competition.
They will look to win this first leg to have something to protect in Bavaria. Alvaro Arbeloa won’t play an open game, instead focusing on fast breaks.
Bayern Munich Form
Bayern are unbeaten in 13 matches across all competitions with 11 wins. This season, they’ve lost just two of 44 fixtures with 38 victories. A 3-2 win at Dortmund and a 4-1 win over Borussia Monchengladbach made it five straight Bundesliga victories. They smashed Atalanta 6-1 away in their last-16 first leg in the Champions League.
A surprise 1-1 draw at Bayer Leverkusen came despite playing the entire second half with ten men. They put up 3.59 xG in a 4-1 second leg win at home to Atalanta. After smashing Union Berlin 4-0 (with 5.08 xG and 31 shots), they scored two added-time goals to win 3-2 at Freiburg on Saturday.
Bayern Munich Team News
Bayern have Michael Olise and Joshua Kimmich back after serving a suspension in the last European match. Fringe squad players like Sven Ulreich, Cassiano Kiala, David Santos and Wisdom Mike are set to miss out.
Nicolas Jackson is available after a domestic suspension. He may be needed to start as Harry Kane continues to nurse an injury and may not be available for this one. Manuel Neuer and Alphonso Davies are also back to full fitness after injuries.
Bayern Munich Motivation
Bayern only play one way. They will go to Spain and try to attack Los Blancos, even if Kane is ruled out.
Vincent Kompany’s side are arguably the favourites to win this competition. A first-leg draw is a decent result but they won’t settle for a share of the spoils here.
Key Stats
- Kylian Mbappe is the top scorer in the Champions League this season with 13 goals
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in 10 matches vs Bayern Munich (7 wins, 3 draws)
- Bayern Munich have won 38 of their 44 matches this season (just 2 losses)
- Bayern have scored 37 goals in their last 11 matches
Verdict
This looks set to be an exciting match. Bayern are playing superbly and may be worth backing to win in Spain.
Featured Bet: Bayern Munich win, Both Teams to Score and Mbappe to score anytime at 4.75
Alternate Bet: Bayern Munich win at 2.32
Goalscorer Tip: Mbappe and Kane to both score anytime at 3.25

