PSG v Real Madrid – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

The winners will face Chelsea in Saturday’s showpiece. This match sees Kylian Mbappe face his former club for the first time.

Match: PSG v Real Madrid
When: Wednesday, 09 July 2025, 21:00

PSG Form

PSG have an incredible end to their regular season. They beat Reims 3-0 in the Coupe de France final with 3.13 xG produced. A 5-0 humbling of Inter Milan in the UEFA Champions League final completed a treble and handed PSG their first ever trophy in that competition.

The Parisians began the Club World Cup by thrashing Atletico Madrid 4-0 before a surprise 1-0 loss to Botafogo. After a 2-0 win over Seattle Sounders, they destroyed Inter Miami 4-0 in the round of 16. A 2-0 win over Bayern Munich saw them reach the semis despite having two players sent off.

PSG Team News

Coach Luis Enrique will be without two suspended players. Centre back Pacho and left back Lucas Hernandez will play no part in this match.

Centre back Presnel Kimpembe is unavailable but Ousmane Dembele will return to the XI. The French attacker scored from the bench in the last match.

PSG Motivation

PSG are highly driven to win this trophy for the first time. Their celebrations after beating Bayern are an indication of this.

Luis Enrique’s side will look to dominate the match. The coach will want to beat his former club in style.

Real Madrid Form

Los Blancos lost five of their final 12 matches of last season. Those defeats included losing home and away vs Arsenal in the Champions League (5-1 on aggregate) and being beaten 3-2 in the Copa del Rey final by Barcelona.

The Club World Cup kicked off with a shock 1-1 draw vs Al Hilal but they responded with a 3-1 win over Pachuca and a 3-0 win vs Salzburg. Real Madrid beat Juventus 1-0 in the last-16 as they outshot the Old Lady 21-6. The quarter-finals saw 2.54 xG produced in a 3-2 victory over Dortmund.

Real Madrid Team News

Coach Xabi Alonso is set to be without five players for this match. Ferland Mendy and David Alaba are injured in defence. Dean Huijsen is suspended after a red card.

Eduardo Camavinga is ruled out and so is young winger Endrick. Striker Gonzalo Garcia has four goals in this competition and will hope to keep his place despite the return of Kylian Mbappe.

Real Madrid Motivation

New coach Xabi Alonso wants to make an immediate impact by winning this competition. Motivation amongst the squad is high, especially for star man Mbappe.

Real Madrid will try to take the game to PSG at times, but Alonso can be very pragmatic and may use fast counters against such a dominant opponent.

Key Stats

PSG have won 9 of their last 10 matches

PSG’s Dembele has scored 34 goals this season

Real Madrid’s Kylian Mbappe has scored 44 goals so far this season

Real Madrid have lost 2 of their last 4 matches vs PSG

Verdict

A very exciting match awaits, with talking points galore. PSG look so impressive and are backed to reach the final. Mbappe and Dembele are sensible anytime goalscorer bets.

Featured Bet: PSG win at 2.50

Value Bet: PSG win and both teams to score at 3.90

Anytime Goalscorer Tips: Dembele at 2.50 or Mbappe at 2.05