Leeds v Liverpool – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

The Whites ended a four-match losing run in midweek whilst the Reds have lost nine of their past 14 matches. Liverpool have scored 13 goals in their last three matches against Leeds.

Match: Leeds v Liverpool
When: Saturday, 06 Dec 2025

Leeds Form

Leeds were on a run of just two wins in 12 fixtures before their key win in midweek. Their last eight matches have seen six losses. They were beaten 2-0 at Burnley before a crucial 2-1 home win over West Ham. A 3-0 loss at Brighton saw 3.07 xG conceded.

Leeds lost 3-1 at Nottingham Forest with 2.55 xG allowed before a 2-1 home defeat to Aston Villa. A 3-2 defeat at Man City saw 3.10 xG and six big chances conceded. They bounced back superbly to beat Chelsea 3-1 in midweek in a deserved victory with 2.79 xG produced from 29% possession.

Leeds Team News

Goalkeeper Karl Darlow and defender Sebastiaan Bornaux are both available after recent knocks. Speedy winger Dan James remains absent and Sean Longstaff is a big loss in midfield.

Coach Daniel Farke switched to a 3-5-2 formation against Chelsea. Gabriel Gudmundsson could keep his place at left back in preference to James Justin. Noah Okafor will have to settle for a place on the bench.

Leeds Motivation

Leeds will have taken a lot of confidence from their midweek win. They will see Liverpool as beatable after the Reds’ recent defensive woes.

A similar approach is expected to the Chelsea game. Leeds will have 30-40% possession at most and will look to hit their two physical forwards with early balls forward.

Liverpool Form

Liverpool have gone unbeaten in two matches after a run of nine losses in 12 matches before that. After beating Aston Villa 2-0 and Real Madrid 1-0 in a very strong display, it proved a false dawn. They lost 3-0 at Man City and then 3-0 at home to Nottingham Forest after a dire second half display.

A 4-1 home defeat to PSV saw their defence ruthlessly exposed on the counter attack. They got an important 2-0 win at ten-man West Ham, but their problems continued in midweek. A 1-1 draw at Anfield against Sunderland saw them create just one big chance from 68% possession.

Liverpool Team News

Arne Slot hopes to have defender Conor Bradley available for this one after injury. Fellow right back Jeremie Frimpong is still ruled out.

Young centre back Giovani Leoni is ruled out long-term. Joe Gomez may continue at right back whilst Mohamed Salah is hoping for a recall before his departure to the African Cup of Nations.

Liverpool Motivation

The Reds can’t afford to drop points. Every game is one where they need to try to win.

Their approach has been a bit more solid of late with a reinforced right side defensively.

Key Stats

• Leeds have lost 4 of their last 5 EPL matches
• Leeds have conceded 13 goals in their last 3 matches vs Liverpool
• Liverpool have lost 9 of their last 14 matches
• Liverpool have lost 5 of their last 7 away fixtures

Verdict

This match is not easy to call, such is Liverpool’s lack of confidence and momentum. Both sides should score and it may be worth backing the Reds to drop more points.

Best Bet: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals at 1.95

Alternate Bet: Leeds win/draw double chance at 1.95

Value Bet: Draw at 3.80