UFC Betting Preview: Can Arnold Allen Stop the Surging Costa in Las Vegas?

This matchup carries major implications in the 145-pound division as both men look to move closer to title contention.

Arnold Allen

Allen comes to the fight with a 20-4 professional record and remains one of the most technically polished fighters in the featherweight rankings.

The English contender is ranked number 7 in the division and has shared the cage with elite names like Max Holloway and Movsar Evloev.

Known for his clean boxing, strong footwork and disciplined defence, Allen averages 3.47 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing just 2.71.

He also owns a 76 percent takedown defence rate which could become a key factor in this matchup.

Melquizael Costa

Costa comes into the main event riding serious momentum. The Brazilian has won six straight fights and holds a 26-7 record with 11 wins by submission and 10 by knockout.

Ranked number 12 at featherweight, Costa fights with relentless pressure and a high pace from the opening bell.

He lands 4.38 significant strikes per minute with nearly 60 percent striking accuracy and mixes in aggressive grappling attacks when opponents slow down.

From a betting perspective this fight presents an interesting clash between experience and momentum.

Allen opened as a slight betting favourite around -135 because of his strength of schedule and five round experience.

Costa has attracted underdog money at +115 thanks to his recent finishes and dangerous style.

The biggest question is whether Costa can maintain his pressure over five rounds. Allen has already competed in high level main events and understands how to manage championship pace fights.

Costa has looked explosive early, but this will be his first UFC headliner scheduled for 25 minutes.

Best bet: Arnold Allen by decision at 2.60

Value play: Fight starts round 4

Live underdog shot: Melquizael Costa by submission 7.00