PSG vs Liverpool – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

The French side beat Chelsea 8-2 on aggregate in the last round. Arne Slot’s side have lost four of their last seven matches in all competitions.

PSG Form

PSG have 11 wins, four losses and one draw in their last 16 matches in all competitions. They sit four points clear of Lens in Ligue 1 with a game in hand. After a 2-2 drawing vs Monaco to progress 5-4 on aggregate in the Champions League playoffs, they won 1-0 at Le Havre in Ligue 1. A 3-1 home loss followed to Monaco in the league.

PSG beat Chelsea 5-2 in their last-16 first leg and won 3-0 at Stamford Bridge in the return fixture. They smashed Nice 4-0 away with 4.13 xG produced. Their last match brought a 3-1 home win over Toulouse as they outshot their opponents 17-5.

PSG Team News

Coach Luis Enrique are still without Fabian Ruiz in midfield and teenage midfielder Quentin Ndjantou will play no part. Bradley Barcola has a sprained ankle and is set to miss this match.

Senny Mayulu should return after a calf injury. Joao Neves, Vitinha, Nuno Mendes and Marquinhos will all return to the XI after partial rests in the last match.

PSG Motivation

PSG had the weekend off to prepare for this match. They will be fresh and 100% focused on this competition.

Anything less than a first-leg win would be seen as a poor result. They will look to dominate the Reds from the start.

Liverpool Form

Liverpool are in poor form with four losses in their last seven matches. In the league, it’s four losses in the last nine rounds of action. They conceded late to lose 2-1 at bottom-placed Wolves in the league but beat Wolves 3-1 in the FA Cup four days later. A 1-0 loss followed away to Galatasaray in the round of 16 first leg.

A late goal leaked led to a 1-1 draw at home to struggling Tottenham. The Reds beat Galatasaray 4-0 to reach the Champions League quarter-finals before losing 2-1 at Brighton in the league. On Saturday, they were humbled 4-0 by Man City in the FA Cup as they allowed 2.44 xG.

Liverpool Team News

Arne Slot is without Waturu Endo in midfield for this match. Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leoni are absent in defence but Alisson Becker has a chance of returning to start in goal.

Alexander Isak is back in training and could make the bench for this match. Jeremie Frimpong, Cody Gakpo and Alexis Mac Allister are all set to return to the XI.

Liverpool Motivation

The Reds will go to Paris and be pragmatic. Expect Arne Slot to use a compact, narrow shape with fast breaks through Ekitike and Salah.

A draw in this first leg would be a great result. A defeat by one goal would be acceptable ahead of this second leg.

Key Stats

• PSG have lost just 2 of their last 16 European games (10 wins, four draws).
• PSG have won 5 of their last 6 matches
• PSG’s Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has scored 7 goals in his season’s Champions League
• Liverpool have lost 4 of their last 7 matches in all competitions
• The last 4 meetings between these clubs have been settled by a one-goal margin

Verdict

PSG should win the first leg. I see both sides scoring and PSG winning by one goal.

Featured Bet: PSG win, both Teams to score and Dembele to score anytime at 4.00

Best Bet: PSG win and Both Teams to Score at 2.87

Alternate Bet: PSG to win by exactly 1 goal at 3.75