English Premier League

Liverpool vs Fulham – Preview, Predictions and Best Bets

Liverpool face Fulham in the English Premier League on Saturday.

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The Reds have lost five of their last eight matches. The Cottagers have won three of their last five EPL matches. Fulham have lost six of their last eight away matches vs Liverpool.

Liverpool Form

Liverpool are currently in dire form with five losses in their last eight matches across all competitions. Their league form has seen five defeats in the last nine fixtures, but they’ve lost just once in 13 home matches across the league and cup competitions. A late goal conceded led to a 1-1 home draw vs relegation-threatened Tottenham.

Liverpool beat Galatasaray 4-0 to reach the Champions League quarter-finals with a 4-1 aggregate victory. They lost 2-1 at Brighton in the league and 4-0 at Man City in the FA Cup. In midweek, they were fortunate to escape Paris with just a 2-0 defeat away to PSG as they were outshot 18-3 and produced just 0.17 xG.

Liverpool Team News

Arne Slot used a back five in midweek with Joe Gomez starting. He will surely revert to a back four for this one. All of Waturu Endo, Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leoni are out injured.

Alisson Becker is injured in goal and won’t be seen until next month. Alexander Isak returned from injury in midweek and could get more minutes here. Mo Salah will hope to start after being an unused substitute at PSG.

Liverpool Motivation

The Reds look devoid of confidence and organisation right now. They will play to win this match in the race for a top-five finish, seeing a draw as a poor result.

With the PSG second leg still alive, they will have one eye on the match. Arne Slot may even rotate some key players ahead of that match.

Fulham Form

After a run of four losses in five league matches, the Cottagers have turned things around. Their last five league fixtures have seen three victories. After a 2-1 win at Stoke City in the FA Cup, they went to Sunderland and won 3-1 before a 2-1 home win over Tottenham with 2.28 xG produced.

After a shock 1-0 home loss to West Ham in the league, they conceded a late goal to lose 1-0 at home to Southampton in the FA Cup. Fulham outshot the Saints 24-5 in that defeat. They drew 0-0 at Nottingham Forest and won 3-1 vs Burnley. Fulham put up 3.15 xG and 22 shots in that win.

Fulham Team News

Right back Kenny Tete is out injured. Calvin Bassey should be available after a back complaint. Speedy winger Kevin will play no part.

In midfield, Harrison Reed is ruled out. Raul Jimenez and Samuel Chukwueze are pushing for recalls in the front four.

Fulham Motivation

Marco Silva’s side plays an open and expansive game. They relish these big games.

Fulham will try to win at Anfield despite their terrible record there. A draw is a good result, but Silva’s side won’t play defensively in order to achieve that.

Key Stats

  • Liverpool have lost 5 of their last 8 matches in all competitions
  • Liverpool have seen both teams on target in their last 7 matches vs Fulham
  • Liverpool have lost just 1 of their last 13 home matches (8 wins, 4 draws)
  • Fulham have lost 6 of their last 8 away matches vs Liverpool
  • Fulham have lost just 1 of their last 5 matches vs Liverpool (1 win, 3 draws)

Verdict

The Reds are distracted and struggling. I’m tipping a score draw in this match as I don’t see Fulham losing.

Best Bet: Fulham win/draw double chance at 2.20

Value Bet: Draw at 4.20

Correct Score Tip: Liverpool 2-2 Fulham at 11.00


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